Super Poll: Averages Show The Actual Standings
February 11, 2015Israel has been inundated by polls since the Knesset disbanded last December, but not to fear – a new “super poll” on Wednesday giving an average of the 38 polls conducted since then clarifies what the varying and dizzying numbers actually portend.
The average, conducted by Walla!, starts with a Knesset Channel poll from December 21 and goes through all the major surveys by the various news channels up to the latest poll, which as it happens also was conducted by the Knesset Channel on February 10.
While Likud and the Labor and Hatnua joint list have been neck and neck throughout the polls, with some indicating Labor ahead and others Likud, the average indicates Likud has a slight advantage with 24 seats as opposed to 23.
Coming in next the united Arab list ties at 12 mandates with Jewish Home, which after roughly 15 to 17 seats earlier in polling has dropped to just above its current 11 seats.
Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid is given 11 seats by the average, a serious plummet from its current 19. Moshe Kahlon’s new Kulanu party, which has also made its platform on economic issues, comes next at nine mandates.
The haredi United Torah Judaism party gets seven seats, Shas receives six, as does Avigdor Liberman’s Yisrael Beytenu which has been severely hampered by a corruption scandal.
Far-left Meretz comes in with five seats, and Eli Yishai’s Yahad – Ha’am Itanu which recently formed a joint list with Otzma Yehudit putting Baruch Marzel at number four, also solidly makes it past the threshold with five seats.
The roller coaster ride of polling isn’t over yet, but as Israel closes in on March 17 elections it appears the edge will go to the traditionally right-wing camp in getting first crack at forming a coalition.
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