Polls: Public Support for ‘Center’ Parties Falling

February 6, 2015  

Public support for so-called ‘center’ parties has been steadily falling, the latest elections polls reveal Friday. 

In one poll, Likud tops the list with 26 seats, as revealed by a survey conducted by Panels Politics for Ma’ariv; Labor is behind with 22 seats, in distant second place. 

Jewish Home, again in third place, has 13 seats, followed closely by the united Arab parties with 12. 

In fifth, and highest for any of the parties along the ‘center’ spectrum, Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid has 11 seats, followed by the haredi United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 8. 

Moshe Kahlon’s Kulanu party has just seven seats – down from eight in recent polls and far from the 10-11 projected for the fledgling party weeks ago – followed by Shas and the far-left Meretz at six seats each. 

Avigdor Liberman’s Yisrael Beytenu bottoms out the poll at just five seats, followed by Eli Yishai’s new Yachad – Ha’am Itanu party, which passes the newly raised threshold at four seats. 

Overall, Likud will need to scramble for just 18 seats to form a coalition, with a Likud-Jewish Home-Yishai pact (the three parties most likely to form a right-wing government) at 43 seats combined. 61 seats are needed to form a government.

Likud or Labor? Polls differ

But not every poll agrees that Likud will win the elections race.

In a competing survey conducted by the Midgam Institute for Yedioth Aharonot, Labor is poised to win the 2015 elections – edging over Likud by just one seat. 

In this poll, Labor is top with 25 seats, with Likud close-but-no-coalition at 24 seats. 

Jewish Home and the Arab parties tie at 12 seats each, in this scenario, while Lapid remains steady at 11 seats. 

Support for Kahlon is still down, however, at just seven seats – tying with both haredi parties, Shas and UTJ. 

Liberman barely skirts past Meretz, with six and five seats, respectively; Yishai’s party still passes the threshold at 4 seats. 

In this survey, Labor will be left with a 20-seat gap to form a coalition, with a Labor-Meretz-Lapid pact at just 41 seats. 

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