Poll: Labor Inches Past Likud, Jewish Home Stuck at 11

February 16, 2015  

With four weeks until elections for the 20th Knesset, Likud and Labor-Hatnua appear to be neck and neck. 

According to survey conducted by the Midgam Institute for Channel Two, Labor, running under the moniker the “Zionist Camp” just barely inches by Likud with 25 seats. 

Likud is one behind with 24 mandates. It has been noted that even if Likud comes in behind, the party with the greatest chance of forming a coalition is given first crack, meaning the outcome of the close competition remains up in the air.

The joint Arab list comes in as the third largest party in the Knesset with 12 seats, a position formerly held on a steady basis by Jewish Home.

Jewish Home, though, is still stuck in a rut with 11 mandates, having fallen sharply from a predicted 15-17 in weeks-earlier polls. They are tied in fourth with center-left party Yesh Atid. 

Moshe Kahlon’s Kulanu, Yisrael Beytenu, and United Torah Judaism are all tied with seven seats, according to the survey. Shas trails just behind them with six mandates. 

Rounding out the poll are far-left Meretz and Eli Yishai’s new party Yachad-Ha’am Itanu with five seats apiece. 

In addition to polling who respondents plan to vote for, the survey also asked them who they believe is the most suitable candidate for Israel’s prime minister. 

Fifty-one percent said that incumbent Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu is the most suitable candidate for the job, while only 28% expressed the same view of Labor leader Yitzhak Herzog. Twelve percent of respondents said none of the candidates suited the job. 

Survey participants were also asked who they thought, regardless of their political preference, would be the next prime minister. 

An overwhelming majority of 67% expected Netanyahu to be re-appointed, while only 17% thought Herzog would become the new prime minister, and 16% responded they did not know. 

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